| |
| 1. |
What
am I trading? |
| 2. |
Who
is a trader? |
| 3. |
How
to choose a Forex broker? |
| 4. |
What
are the objectives of trading? |
| 5. |
What
should traders think about first when entering a new trade?
|
| 6. |
Tell
me about some of the pitfalls traders face when it comes to trading
smarter. |
| 7. |
How
might a trader go about identifying a risk level ahead of time?
|
| 8. |
What
should traders look for when identifying a profit target?
|
| 9. |
Let's
say you do enter that trade, and the stock goes up but stalls
under $21, what might you then look to do? |
| 10. |
So
far we've only focused on the long side of the market. What about
the short side? |
| 11. |
What
style of trading does your educational training best support?
|
| 12. |
Can
you provide us with a simple but effective swing trading strategy?
|
| 13. |
How
to use Fibonacci retracement tools? |
| 14. |
Can
you explain how the virtue of patience helps one in trading the
markets? |
| 15. |
CCI
or MACD? |
| 16. |
If
your rational mind tells you something is interesting or
desirable to do, and -- at the same time, in contradiction --
your emotions tell you the opposite, then is it possible for both
your head and your emotions to be correct? |
| 17. |
Does
Emotional Intelligence exists? |
| 18. |
How
does one Exploit the Effects of Emotions on the Capital Markets?
|
| 19. |
How
does one use AI techniques in trading? |
| 20. |
Is
stock and futures market a Zero-sum game? |
| 21. |
Is
Efiicient Market Hypothesis theory valid? |
| 22. |
Is
there a "sure" system to beat the market? |
| 23. |
What
are your Future goals? |
| 24. |
Are
you trading real money or a demo account? |
| 25. |
Does
it really matter, what exact system is used for trading?
|
| 26. |
What
is the advantages of using weekly data over daily data?
|
| 27. |
Is
there any significance to the Time of Day, Day of Week and Month
and Month of year in trading? |
| 28. |
Which
is an acceptable or minimal win% for a trading system ?
|
| 29. |
Is
there a distinction about objectivity and subjectivity about price
data? |
| 30. |
Does
reason lead man to certainty? |
| 31. |
Why
does man needs a Philosophy? |
| 32. |
Comments
on Van Tharps Courses please? |
| 33. |
What
about SAR? |
| 34. |
What
statistics are important in back-testing? |
| 35. |
Do
Indicators signal? |
| 36. |
Dangers
Of The True Optimal f. Do Equations Tell The Whole Story?
|
| 37. |
Thoughts
on Optimization? |
| 38. |
Is
Walk Forward Tested System Is Better than the Best
Optimized One? |
| 39. |
Ulcer
Index? |
| 40. |
Stop
Loss? |
| 41. |
Sharpe
Ratio? |
| 42. |
How
to aim for the right target in trading? |
| 43. |
Profit
strategies? |
| 44. |
Tight
Stops? |
| 45. |
The
virtue of independence in trading? |
| 46. |
Short
Selling? |
| 47. |
Trend
Trading Range? |
| 48. |
How
does the markets really works? |
| 49. |
Front
Running and Pre-Released Data at the University of Michigan?
|
| 50. |
Fundamental
Vs Technical Analysis? |
| 51. |
Guidelines
for Mechanical system Development? |
| 52. |
How
to use the popular Moving averages to signal trends?
|
| 53. |
Options?
|
| 54. |
Anticipation
Vs Confirmation? |
| 55. |
Interest
Rates? |
| 56. |
Gold?
|
| 57. |
Great
Investing Secrets? |
| 58. |
Fundamentals?
|
| 59. |
Neural
Nets? |
| 60. |
Search
routine for a future crossover point? |
| 61. |
Monte-Carlo
Simulation? |
| 62. |
OI,
Volume and other sentiment indicators? |
| 63. |
Revealing
a system will degrade system performance? |
| 64. |
Normalization?
|
| 65. |
Swing
Trading? |
| 66. |
Bollinger?
|
| 67. |
A
trading Coach? |
| 68. |
RSI
and Stochastics? |
| 69. |
Diversification?
|
| 70. |
5
Steps To Better Trading? |
| 71. |
Accurate
Pivot Points? |
| 72. |
10%
of Traders go bankrupt? |
| 73. |
Technical
specifics show price objectives, turns? |
| 74. |
Stochastics?
|
| 75. |
Is
The Trend Really Your Friend? |
| 76. |
What's
more important than know the trend? |
| 77. |
Should
you panic when a stock drops after a company earnings announcement?
|
| 78. |
Volatility?
|
| 79. |
Low
risk Investment strategies? |
| 80. |
Index
Futures? |
| 81. |
Greeks?
|
| 82. |
Cyclical
Analysis To Calculate Intermediate Term Targets? |
| 83. |
A
strategy for investors who would like to “Repair” stocks that
have lost value in the market downdraft? |
| 84. |
The
Importance of Base Patterns? |
| 85. |
How
do you find a threshold or resistance pattern for a stock that
has been declining for two years, ie (the whole Tech sector),
for example RBAK. It has recently began to make small jumps, but
without knowing the resistance pattern, how would you know when
to buy? |
| 86. |
What
other factors do you base your trades on? Or do you strictly use
technicals? |
| 87. |
How
to Profit from the historical rise in stocks during the first
weeks of the year? |
| 88. |
How
The Pros Minimize Losses? |
| 89. |
I
have ridden some stocks thru ups and downs. Can you give me some
insights as to predicting how strong a top/bottom is in terms
of how low to expect the reversal to go? |
| 90. |
Do
you recommend shorts for a farily new investor or should they
stay with regular buys? |
| 91. |
In
a stock split, who benefits? The stockholder or the company?
|
| 92. |
Insiders
Find the Top? |
| 93. |
Is
there a mutual fund that puts particular emphasis on companies
where there is insider buying and/or buy back of company stock?
|
| 94. |
Is
there a government web site that reports insider purchases and
sales? |
| 95. |
Is
there a website that tells which stocks are being bought or sold?
Do you use Yahoo and enter a stock name then look to see insider
info? |
| 96. |
Timely
Tax Planning Is Crucial For Traders? |
| 97. |
If
I have 250,000 in losses and 200,000 in gains does 200,000 in
losses wash the gains and should I sell only enough to exactly
wash the gains. I make about 20 trades per month. If the answer
is yes then how much more loss can I take? |
| 98. |
Do
you know about real estate tax laws? I heard that I can sell a
property after living in it for 2 years and pay no captial gains
taxes. Is that true? |
| 99. |
Is
there a comprehensive tax guide that I can purchase? What do you
recommend? |
| 100. |
Is
there software that will help me track my options trades for tax
purposes? I have a hard time following all of this.
|
| 101. |
Mortgage
REIT's? |
| 102. |
I
have read elsewhere that the residential real estate sector, composed
of residential construction companies and real estate services
firms, is the most susceptible to economic slumps?
|
| 103. |
When
the big bad bear takes hold of the market, shorting stocks can
be a profitable strategy? |
| 104. |
How
should I get started with shorting? I've considered it for some
time but it seems like a huge risk. |
| 105. |
Can
you recommend some literature that will give me additional detailed
information about shorting stocks? |
| 106. |
Chart
Formations Signal Trend Reversals? |
| 107. |
How
to keep Mutual Funds from wiping out your portfolio?
|
| 108. |
How
can options act as the “sure thing” in this market?
|
| 109. |
4
Step Portfolio Checkup – What Should Stay And Go?
|
| 110. |
Part-time
traders may qualify for trader tax status? |
| 111. |
A
great hedging tool, spreads, that can easily be combined with
rollups or rolldowns to further reduce your risk?
|
| 112. |
Earnings
Estimates - Do They Work Anymore? |
| 113. |
How
to diversify? |
| 114. |
How
to Turn Bulls Into Bears? |
| 115. |
Bull-Call
Debit Spread? |
| 116. |
Seventeen
time-honored rules to help improve your trading results?
|
| 117. |
Strangle?
|
| 118. |
Insider
Trading – Is it Predictive? |
| 119. |
Five
ways to invest smarter, make more money, and sleep better at night?
|
| 120. |
Selling
Short: A Technique for Profiting When Stocks Fall?
|
| 121. |
Can
we Zero Your Risk? |
| 122. |
Three
ways to profit from the "Tax Bounce"? |
| 123. |
Consistent
Shares May Give Inconsistent Results? |
| 124. |
Exchange
Traded Funds (ETFs)? |
| 125. |
Have
you ever owned a call option that is down in price even though
the underlying stock is up significantly for the day?
|
| 126. |
Short
Positions in an IRA? |
| 127. |
Systematic
Option Writing: Hedging Made Easy? |
| 128. |
What
is one of the causes of mind-numbing, portfolio-constricting stultification?
|
| 129. |
But
what happens when option trades are initiated predominantly by
option sellers? |
| 130. |
A
Collar Strategy? |
| 131. |
What's
your favorite index to follow? |
| 132. |
Bar
Chart formations? |
| 133. |
Five
Investing Myths You Should Know? |
| 134. |
Systematic
Option Writing: Hedging Made Easy? |
| 135. |
Special
Situations - Smart money shows its hand long before the news hits
the street? |
| 136. |
Round
Numbers? |
| 137. |
The
Downside of Covered Calls? |
| 138. |
Naked
Puts? |
| 139. |
Volume
Can Give You An Early Warning? |
| 140. |
Fed
Model methodology? |
| 141. |
Liquidity?
|
| 142. |
When
to Sell? |
| 143. |
How
much risk is there in reward? |
| 144. |
Merge
Quantitative, Technical, and Strategic Methods? |
| 145. |
Delta-Neutral
Hedging? |
| 146. |
how
does one navigate the changing market conditions?
|
| 147. |
High
Noon in India? |
| 148. |
Build
your own fund? |
| 149. |
Hedging
& Compounding - secrets to creating wealth? |
| 150. |
What
are the Seasonality Odds? |
| 151. |
In
some cases, even if the company reports profit in its earning
report, the stock proce falls. What may be the reason behind this?
|
| 152. |
We
often hear that the Fed has started the printing presses and is
increasing liquidity. What is the exact mechanism for doing this?
Certainly, Greenspan doesn't run up and down Wall St. throwing
out $100 bills! How does this tie in with the low Discount Rate?
|
| 153. |
50-Day
Relative Strength? |
| 154. |
Covered
Call Writing? |
| 155. |
How
To Evaluate A Good System? |
| 156. |
Stop-Loss
or Covered Call -- Why not both? |
| 157. |
How
to beat the S&P 500 Index? |
| 158. |
SPUs?
|
| 159. |
Why
Buying And Holding Is Dangerous To Your Retirement?
|
| 160. |
Low
Volatility? |
| 161. |
Why
Active Management? |
| 162. |
Selling
Puts vs. Covered Call Writing? |
| 163. |
Head
And Shoulders Chart Formations? |
| 164. |
Are
rising rates inherently bad for the market? |
| 165. |
LEAPS
as an Alternative to Stocks? |
| 166. |
How
to Find Good Bond Buys? |
| 167. |
ETFs
or Futures? |
| 168. |
Indicators
& Trading Systems? |
| 169. |
Stock
Index Lists? |
| 170. |
Mechanical
Trading Systems? |
| 171. |
What
is Containment? |
| 172. |
Candlestick
Chart Patterns? |
| 173. |
What
exactly is accumulation and distribution? |
| 174. |
How
to make the stock market a favorable game? |
| 175. |
Do
you think you can be profitable every month? |
| 176. |
What
is the Psychology behind trading? |
| 177. |
Can
exchanges change the rules any time they want to?
|
| 178. |
Should
we try to take profits from the market? |
| 179. |
Neural
Networks (NN), Mechanical Systems and Super-Computers?
|
| 180. |
Does
volume figure into your trading? |
| 181. |
How
are Indexes calculated? |
| 182. |
How
to Profit from the Wisdom of the "Oracle of Omaha"?
|
| 183. |
How
to Claim and Defend Your Trader Status? |
| 184. |
System
Trading vs. Discretionary Trading: Which Is Better?
|
| 185. |
Can
not short sell stocks under $5? |
| 186. |
Two
ways to go broke trading a market? |
| 187. |
It
seems every investor I meet is a stock picker and always in search
of the next Microsoft. The story is always the same: he is in
love with his stock, and it's always got unbelievable potential.
What's wrong with this picture? |
| 188. |
"Buy
at the time of maximum pessimism and Sell at the time of maximum
optimism" ? |
| 189. |
John
was a little shell-shocked over what had happened in the market
over the last three days. He'd lost 70% of his account value.
He was shaken, but still convinced that he could make the money
back! After all, he had been up almost 200% before the market
withered him down. He still had $4,500 left in his account. What
advice would you give John? |
| 190. |
Portfolio
Drawdown? |
| 191. |
M-Score?
|
| 192. |
How
many stocks should you own in your portfolio? |
| 193. |
Suppose
a crystal ball showed you 20 wonderful stocks that would appreciate
by 25% in a year. Would your portfolio be up 25% in one year?
|
| 194. |
Investment
Newsletters? Gurus? |
| 195. |
The
"wonderful" results of most systems are often the result of computer
modeling and the ability to pick the best curve to make the retrospective
data appear most positive. When followed prospectively many of
these models perform much more poorly. |
| 196. |
Can
I Buy an Index, or ETFs using the TheRootofAllGoodisMoney.com
system? |
| 197. |
Is
the TheRootofAllGoodisMoney Strategy risky? |
| 198. |
I'm
currently fully invested in the market. Would you recommend I
get out to start fresh? |
| 199. |
What
is the minimum capital amount I need to properly apply the TheRootofAllGoodisMoney
strategy? |
| 200. |
Does
your system work in any other stock market but the U.S.A.?
|
| 201. |
Does
the system tell me when to sell? |
| 202. |
Does
TheRootofAllGoodisMoney execute my orders for me, or do I use
my own brokerage account? |
| 203. |
Does
the system require a heavy time commitment, and is it easy to
understand? Can I go on vacations? I share the basic philosophy
but I am still in the corporate rat race and don't have a lot
of time to spend at the terminal during the day. |
| 204. |
How
do you avoid the Enrons and the WorldComs of the world?
|
| 205. |
Is
TheRootofAllGoodisMoney.com a short term trading system, or a
long term investment system? |
| 206. |
Do
you use stops? |
| 207. |
Wall
Street's Analysts? |
| 208. |
There
are similarities in your strategy to work published by the Turtle
strategy, and Dr. Van Tharp (position sizing, diversification,
market trending, risk management). How does your work differ from
theirs? |
| 209. |
Why
wouldn't fund managers simply use your approach? Most mutual fund
results reflect the general market returns, but your returns far
exceed the general market. |
| 210. |
How
would a bear market impact the TheRootofAllGoodisMoney strategy?
|
| 211. |
Are
you a broker, or an investment advisor? |
| 212. |
How
many years has TheRootofAllGoodisMoney.com been in business?
|
| 213. |
Does
TheRootofAllGoodisMoney.com offer higher diversification levels?
|
| 214. |
I
live overseas, and commissions are very expensive here. How can
I best utilize your strategy? |
| 215. |
Do
you short stocks? |
| 216. |
Do
you publish an equity curve? What type of drawdown should I expect
using your strategy? |
| 217. |
Tax-wise,
is your method efficient? |
| 218. |
Do
you cover only Blue Chip stocks, or do you cover small stocks
as well? |
| 219. |
If
I subscribe to TheRootofAllGoodisMoney.com, will the methodology
be revealed to me? |
| 220. |
Would
my money be invested all at once or gradually over a given time
period? |
| 221. |
I
am 66 years old, retired and drawing $1,300.00 a month social
security. I sold my home and I now rent a house. I have $240,000
which I would like to invest. Would you recommend your service
to me? |
| 222. |
Professional
Traders? |
| 223. |
Trading
Systems? |
| 224. |
Investment
systems? |
| 225. |
Stock
Value? |
| 226. |
Extremely
Bullish? |
| 227. |
Is
the PE Ratio, the best method of deciding if a stock is worth
buying? Don't bet on it: PE ratio alone can be very misleading.
|
| 228. |
Day-Trading?
|
| 229. |
What
is more important? Best-case scenario which promises the heaven
and the moon? |
| 230. |
Real-world
results? |
| 231. |
Why
do you hold a position overnight? |
| 232. |
If
I created a system that bought the bid and sold the offer all
day long, and asked you to post the trades -- my system would
appear unbelievably profitable based on your posting of fills
on a single 'Last Traded Price'? |
| 233. |
My
thinking in picking that number was that it's still incredibly
ridiculous to trade anything with 33:1 margin, but it's more conservative
than the 100:1 margin some forex brokers offer? |
| 234. |
Missed
limit orders on quick intraday moves is what killed my ability
to match the C2 results, so 10-15s delay after an ITM signal is
too long to get the results shown based on my experience.
|
| 235. |
since
there are lots of trades and even small slippages on each trade
can add up to counter the small net profit when all the trade
results are summed up? |
| 236. |
Hedge
Funds? |
| 237. |
Trade
Size & Detecting Breakouts? |
| 238. |
Growth
and Value both do better when Growth does better? The Growth vs
Vaue Strategy. |
| 239. |
Shorting
ETFs: The Little Guy Gets The Shaft Again? |
| 240. |
How
To Turbo-Charge Your Trading Performance? |
| 241. |
Options,
Stops, Leveraging & Volatility? |
| 242. |
How
to find a good trading system? |
| 243. |
Sstem
Tests? |
| 244. |
"If
a system can't even be manually traded, auto-trading is sheer
lunacy." ? |
| 245. |
If
I am following someone elses system I see no point in trying to
second guess it or attempt to tweak it in some way?
|
| 246. |
But
I still maintain that trying to tweak someone elses system, when
all you get (on C2) are specific trade entry and exit notices,
makes no sense because the underlying methodology for picking
those specific trades is not known by the subscriber, generally?
|
| 247. |
By
increasing your risk exposure just a little bit, do you mean by
using options? |
| 248. |
Hypothetical
results vs Real results? |
| 249. |
Valid
Trading Systems? |
| 250. |
Small
things matter too? |
| 251. |
Speculation
vs Gambling? |
| 252. |
Entrepreneurial
uncertainty? |
| 253. |
What
are the Types of Trading? |
| 254. |
System
testing and Sample Size? |
| 255. |
Optimal
portfolio selection strategy? |
| 256. |
Can
one judge performance of a trader and his system by the results?
|
| 257. |
Market
Indexes? |
| 258. |
Does
advertising you system as a featured system at C2 leads to its
demise?. |
| 259. |
I
would take issue with your concern "that the way it is set up
right now, the impression this gives is that
Collective2 is attempting to steer would-be customers to certain
system vendors" and your statement that "perception is 90% of
reality." |
| 260. |
What
is the relationship of concepts to existents? To what precisely
do concepts refer in reality? |
| 261. |
Pride.
|
| |
| 1. |
What am I trading?
|
| |
"The biggest human temptation is - to settle for too little." -
Thomas Merton.
“The crowd is right during the trends but wrong at both ends.” -
Humphrey Neill, The Art of Contrary Thinking.
"The great pleasure in life is doing what people say you cannot
do." - Walter Bagehot.
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CG Canada Government Bond
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EEI Euribor 3 Month
EM LIBOR DAY
FF Fed Funds Rate
LL Long Gilt
SR Short Sterling
Stock Indices
DJ Dow Jones Industrials
GX Dax
HS Hang Seng
MD MidCap 400
MV Mini-Value Line
ND Nasdaq
NK Nikkei
RT Russell 2000
SP S&P 500
ES Mini S&P 500
ZX FTSE
ER EuroTop 100
SG S&P Growth
SPI SFE SPI 200
Metals
GC Gold
HG Copper
PA Palladium
PL Platinum
SI Silver
Energy
CL Crude Oil
HO Heating Oil
HU Unleaded Gasoline
NG Natural Gas
IC IPE Brent Crude Oil
Grains
BO Bean Oil
C Corn
KW Kansas City Wheat
MW Minneapolis Wheat
NR Rough Rice
O Oats
S Soybeans
SM soy Meal
W Cbot Wheat
Other Indices
CR Commodity Researsh Bureau Index
GI Goldman Sachs Index
Fiber
CT Cotton
Livestock
FC Feeder Cattle
LC Live Cattle
Meats
LH Lean Hogs
PB Prok Bellies
Foods
CC Coccoa
KC Coffee
SB Sugar
Softs
JO Orange Juice
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| 2. |
Who is a trader?
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The Trader
The symbol of all relationships among such men, the moral symbol
of respect for human beings, is the trader. We, who live by values,
not by loot, are traders, both in matter and spirit. A trader is
a man who earns what he gets and does not give or take the undeserved.
A trader does not ask to be paid for his failure, he does not ask
to be loved for his flaws. A trader does not squander his body as
fodder, or his soul as alms. Just as he does not give his work except
in trade for material values, so he does not give the values of
his spirit -- his love, his friendship, his esteem – except in payment
and in trade for human virtue, in payment for his own selfish pleasure,
which he receives from men he can respect. The mystic parasites
who have, throughout the ages, reviled the trader and held him in
contempt, while honoring beggars and looters, have known the secret
motive of their sneers: a trader is an entity they dread - a man
of justice.
--Ayn Rand
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| 3. |
How to choose
a Forex broker?
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If you're searching for a forex broker it's easy to get overwhelmed
by the sheer number of choices available.
A quick search on Google for "forex broker" easily yields over 191,000
search results, not to mention a ton of ads. So with all of these
potential brokers, where do you start?
I put together a couple of resources to help you
out.
* What you should look for in a broker?
* Who regulates forex brokers?
* How to find out about any complaints or cases against a potential
broker.
To access the answers, please visit the link below:
http://www.market-millions.com/ez/go.php?forex-broker.php
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| 4. |
What are the
objectives of trading?
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The way I see it, trading smarter can lead to trading profitably,
and to do that you need to have a disciplined and consistent focus
on two key trading objectives--reduce risk and boost profits. Given
the way the markets have behaved in recent years, and how the markets
are likely to continue to behave, there is perhaps as great a need
for traders to employ strategy and discipline as ever. Bungled trades
may be avoided by maintaining oneself in top physical and mental
condition. Emotional blunders may be avoided by sticking to rules
(discipline/self-discipline) come hell or high water. Losses due
to testing unproven strategies may be minimized by limiting the
PositionSize for such trades. Entry rules control risk. Entries
don't determine winners or losers. Exit rules determine profits
or losses (winners or losers). Entry and Exit rules together determine
Expectancy and Opportunity. Position sizing determines your net
profit or return, as well as Maximum DrawDown (MDD). So when one
is designing the entry/exit rules and their input parameters, don't
optimize for net profit! Instead . . .Optimize for Expectancy. Optimize
for maximum expectancy, without regard to anything else. Position
sizing takes care of the rest. A good position sizing strategy will
result in greater, more consistent profits on a high-expectancy
strategy than on a low-expectancy strategy, even if the low-expectancy
strategy has a higher net profit on a 1-contract basis! Develop
a system that has a high expectancy, and one'll find that even the
Sharpe Ratio and Ulcer Performance Index (UPI) takes care of itself.
A further caution is advised against automating an unproven system
as it would only accelerate the mess.
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| 5. |
What should traders
think about first when entering a new trade?
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I'd recommend each trader start by taking a look at the overall
condition of the market, then looking at the technical position
of each market sector. After performing this "top-down" analysis
of the markets and sectors, the trader should then turn to looking
at individual stocks.
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| 6. |
Tell me about
some of the pitfalls traders face when it comes to trading smarter.
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A key requirement for trading smarter is to become totally objective.
When committing hard-earned money to any investment, it's real easy
to also commit your emotions. Emotional trading is probably the
most common pitfall that traders face today. Generally, by letting
emotions rule your trade decisions, the market has a funny way of
finding and exposing this weakness. My experience has shown me that
stock prices are determined by investor psychology, and both psychology
and stock prices move in trends. These trends can be visually captured
on price charts, and objectively analyzed using various technical
tools and indicators. Once you know the trend of a trade candidate,
you can then begin to look at optimal entry points, as well as identify
risk levels and profit targets. This can all be done prior to entering
a trade to help you mentally rehearse a trade's potential outcome
ahead of time. If you don't mentally rehearse your trades before
entering them, it is far easier to allow your emotions to take control
when events go unexpectedly against you.
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| 7. |
How might a trader
go about identifying a risk level ahead of time?
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Traders should always focus first on risk, then on profits. Risk
represents the level where a trader might set a stop order in order
to exit an unprofitable trade with minimal losses. By setting stops
ahead of time you have already made a major effort at mentally rehearsing
trades in case things go wrong. For a long position, I would advise
the trader to first identify the support level on the price chart
then place the stop order just below this support level. I define
support as a level where a declining price trend can be expected
to halt temporarily due to a concentration of buying demand. Support
levels are not predictors of where prices might go, but they do
indicate possible or probable points where they might bounce. Potential
support points include previous highs and lows, the upper and lower
areas of gaps, trendlines and reliable moving averages. Once the
price falls below a support level, then the trader should immediately
minimize that loss and quickly liquidate the position. Minimizing
risk is important because statistically it is very difficult to
come back from a big loss. For example if you lose 50% on a trade
you will have to make 100% on the next one just to break even.
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| 8. |
What should traders
look for when identifying a profit target?
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Always consider a trade's risk-to-reward ratio. While identifying
risk involves setting a stop to minimize risk in a losing trade,
identifying a trade's reward involves setting a target where you
will look to take profits from a winning trade. I typically look
for trade candidates where there is at least a 1 to 1 reward versus
risk, i.e, the reward should be atleast commensurate with risk.
In other words, if I were to enter a long position at $20 and determine
my risk/support level to be at $19 (a $1 loss per share), I would
want to target a minimum price of $21 (a $1 profit per share), or
one times the risk per share. If through my use of technical analysis
price pattern forecasting I determine that it is probable the price
may reach $21 or higher in the timeframe of my trade, I may elect
to enter that trade. Also remember to never risk more than 45% of
your account equity on any one trade. If you risk say 45% of your
trading capital on each trade and proceed to lose this amount on
two consecutive trades, you then would find yourself nearly out
of business. It is important to note here that by capital at risk,
I am referring to the maximum amount you'd be willing to lose on
any individual trade and not the total amount of capital committed
to any one trade.
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| 9. |
Let's say you
do enter that trade, and the stock goes up but stalls under $21,
what might you then look to do?
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Seeing as you want to maximize profits, wait and look for signs
of a reversal before giving up on the stock hitting your initial
price target. There are many types of reversal signals to look for.
The real key is to accumulate a "weight of evidence approach" that
a trend is reversing before making the decision to exit the trade.
By weight of the evidence I mean the trader should consider the
technical position using a consensus of four or five indicators.
Never trade with one indicator because even the best ones fail from
time to time. Using a consensus approach increases your odds of
being successful. If you follow too many indicators, this will likely
lead you to a state of confusion. If there are contradictions among
indicators, check your premises, one of them will be wrong.
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| 10. |
So far we've
only focused on the long side of the market. What about the short
side?
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I'll first say that it typically takes a lot longer for a stock
to go up than it does for it to go down. The advantage a short trader
may have over a long trader is that the short trader's profits can
come much quicker. However, trading the short side of a given stock
can also expose the trader to other risks such as the stock suddenly
becoming a takeover candidate. If such an event occurs, the stock
may shoot up in response, requiring the trader to cover the short
position at a price much higher than where it was initially sold
short. To protect against such risk, the trader should avoid shorting
stocks where there is even the remotest possibility of a takeover.
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| 11. |
What style of
trading does your educational training best support?
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I typically like to focus on momentum or “swing” trading by analyzing
price trends and patterns and combining this analysis with overbought/oversold
indicator readings. Popularly known as "oscillators", overbought/oversold
indicators swing from one extreme to another. As such, they are
an excellent reflection of crowd psychology. As we all know, it
is better to buy when everyone is bearish. We can use oscillators
as a proxy for such emotional extremes.
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| 12. |
Can you provide
us with a simple but effective swing trading strategy?
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A good strategy would be to look for stocks where price is breaking
out on the upside, while at the same time the oscillator is bouncing
from an oversold state and heading to overbought. I would hesitate
to buy a price breakout when the oscillator is in an overbought
state, as this is an indication that the stock may be running out
of steam.
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| 13. |
How to use Fibonacci
retracement tools?
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| |
Fibonacci retracement lines are very useful in trend analysis for
anticipating a pullback or a reversal in price. Pullbacks are made
when a new high or low is reached. They are generally considered
the riskiest of all trades and most traders are well advised to
avoid them, except the most nimble. No market goes strictly in one
direction. There are always ups and downs in the price. These fluctuations
should be anticipated in advance. As a general rule, after a long
trend has been established, it would be normal for 50% of the gains
to be erased by a counter-trend move (reversal). After this counter
move, the price would resume its previous trend in the same original
direction.
Since the 50% value isn't that precise a target, traders bracket
the counter move from 38% to 62% giving one 3 targets where the
trader can take 1/3 profits at the first target(38%), 1/2 in the
second (50%) and 2/3rd in the 3rd target (62%). If the counter trend
move crosses this 62% target, then the market is confirmed to be
a major
trend reversal and the trader should let the remaining 1/3rd run
its course preferably using a SAR based stop.
Also, http://www.dacharts.com/articles/_PFT.pdf
http://www.activetradermag.com/special/cyber04july1.htm
Fibonacci Retracement
If you've been trading for any length of time, odds are that you
already know all about Fibonacci relationships. Fibonacci was an
Italian mathematician that gave us a particular series of numbers:
1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 etc..
To get the next number in the series, you simply add the last two
numbers together. So to get the 21 at the end, we added the 13 and
8 together.
Eventually, you can divide two numbers in the sequence together
to get the important Fibonacci ratio 1.618 or 0.618.
Interestingly, you can get this ratio from running a Fibonacci series
using any two starting values. Just pick two numbers out of the
air, say 76 and 3. Then start generating new numbers by adding the
last two:
376791552343896231012 etc...
623 / 1012 is 0.6156, so we're already getting close to the 0.618
with only a few iterations of the sequence. So you can see how powerful
this is.
In our trading system, we'll look at 4 different ratios:
0.618, 1.618, 0.786, and 1.27
These numbers are the same ones Larry Pesavento recommends, and
have proven to be extremely important. The first two numbers in
the sequence come straight from the Fibonacci series, and the second
two numbers are their square roots.
For trading purposes, you simply locate an important recent high
and low, find the distance between them, and mark the ratios off
at the appropriate price levels.
In the chart below, you can see how the market responded when it
reached important Fibonacci retracement levels:
The first retracement level was calculated using the (a - b) and
caught the high at c. Next, the 1.27 retracement of (b - c) was
exactly on the low at point d. FInally, the 0.786 retracement or
(c - d) forced a triple top at point e.
This chart not only demonstrates the importance of Fibonacci retracement
levels, but the importance of using the square roots of the original
0.618 and 1.618 ratios.
"Human expectations occur in a ratio that approaches Phi.
Changes in market prices largely reflect human opinions,
valuations and expectations. A study by mathematical
psychologist Vladimir Lefebvre demonstrated that humans
exhibit positive and negative evaluations of the opinions
they hold in a ratio that approaches phi, with 61.8%
positive and 38.2% negative."
- The Golden Number
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| 14. |
Can you explain
how the virtue of patience helps one in trading the markets?
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In trading, timing is everything. Winning traders are patient. They
know how to control their impulses so as to act decisively at the
opportune moment. Rather than acting on a whim, they carefully devise
a detailed trading plan, in which precise entry and exit strategies
are specified, and strictly follow it. Discipline is the key to
successful trading. Although discipline can be learned, some people
are more disciplined and self-controlled than others. It is useful
to determine whe |